For a corporate executive like me, doing a political prediction could be suicidal, but I will take my chance. I am pronouncing today, that Mrs. Hillary Rodham Clinton will be the next president of United States. Trust me, it will be a good news for America and the World.
I am new in this country hence does not have any bias for any political party, affiliation or groups। Being a student of History, my judgment is based on facts on ground. The Florida Win by Mrs. Clinton and Mr John McCain clearly puts Democrats on the front seat. They are now sure to win the Presidential General Election in Nov 2008 under the leadership of Hillary Clinton.
Mr Barack Obama winning South Carolina (SC) with huge majority due to polarized voting by African American’s, sealed his fate। Clearly it proved that his Presidential bid has racial overtones. The enthusiasm by African Americans to vote only for Obama, as seen in SC elections (he got 81% of Black Votes) has killed Whites / Latinos / Asians and Sr. citizens support for him. With only 20% of eligible African American voters and say another 25% support from other groups (Independents and Young Voters), Mr Obama could never make it to the finish line now. If Mr Obama was a good student of politics, he should have gone very slow in South Carolina to remain above the politics of race. If Mrs. Clinton had won SC, then Obama would have surly created history by becoming the first Black President of America. Alas, that was true as that is not going to happen now. Thus pundit says, set your strategies for war not for battle wins. Never mind, there will be election pitch again after 7 yrs. He is still very young and quite talented. I personally like his oratory skills, confidence & charm.
How can I be so sure about my prediction?
Well look at the election results at Florida। It is a big State with diverse population including Whites / Blacks / Hispanics / Cubans and Asians. Hillary got over 50% of the total votes, which is why I fee and declare that she will be the winner in Nov 2008 elections. My prediction is that the Super Tuesday (21 States going for Primary on next Tuesday) and rest of the States elections would bring identical results making Mrs Clinton a clearer winner. The margin of WIN could be 5-10% up or down, based on the demographics & race distribution in the given State.
I am aware that many Republicans and fairly good chunk of Independents just don’t like Hillary Clinton, but she is good and ready for he post। She is quite articulate and she has the best experience amongst candidates in the fray. Most importantly, she knows the meaning to Governance and World Politics. America being a Super Power can’t indulge into experiment with President Elect. USA today needs a charismatic World President, acceptable to all, more than a war monger Commander-in-Chief. Her husband Mr Bill Clinton, the most famous Democrat after JFK, is another asset on her side.
Political Gurus and News Channels know this for sure, but can’t speak out as they are not in business of speculation। For economic reasons and the fear of retribution, they don’t want to favor a candidate or declare the Winner before time. The only person, who could have given some fight to Mrs. Clinton, would have been Mitt Romney, with deep pockets and solid Corporate background. But I guess McCain would be contesting against her who would continue to talk about War on Terror and how Iraq war is going right to remain relevant to the conservative Republican base. This will further alienating majority of Americans, as they are more concerned about Economy, Jobs, House Foreclosure and Health Care. For them Iraq and prolonged war is a curse and they want to end it ASAP.
Hence, now there would be no contest ahead। Mrs. Clinton will win hands-down. She will write history by becoming first Female President of America. I guess it is long over due considering America is the champion for Capital Economy and Democratic World.
I take this opportunity to congratulate her in advance by saying "Welcome to the White House Mrs President". The America and world awaits your leadership.
Manish जैसवाल
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